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    Is NVIDIA a Bubble, a Milestone, or the Beginning of the End?

    It's the first company to reach $4 trillion and surpassed Apple and Microsoft in stock market valuation. Is this the vertigo of digital gold or a symptom of an economy with silicon feet?

    It sounds like the plot of a science-fiction novel written during the Silicon Valley boom, but it’s as real as the dust blown by data-center cooling fans: NVIDIA has become the first company in history to reach a market valuation of $4 trillion. Four trillion. With a “b” for bubble, Bitcoin, Biden, and Big Tech.

    The announcement hit financial media like a stampede. On July 9, NVIDIA’s stock rose 2.5% and closed at $135.58 — a price less interesting than the question hanging in the air like excess silicon: Is this sustainable?

    The official explanation is simple: chips. But not just any chips. NVIDIA manufactures the GPUs that have become the fundamental neurons of generative artificial intelligence — powering ChatGPT, Amazon’s servers, autonomous systems, defense technologies, and the most sophisticated video games.

    The company founded in 1993 by Jensen Huang went from designing gaming graphics cards to becoming the essential supplier of the algorithmic era. And that’s where the problem begins: when a company becomes “essential,” it usually becomes invisible to caution, restraint, and market oversight.

    Jensen Huang: The Steve Jobs of Silicon

    It’s no coincidence that investors have turned Jensen Huang into a cult figure. Part showman, part visionary strategist, he has become Silicon Valley’s newest prophet — the man promising that everything humans touch, see, use, or say will eventually pass through an NVIDIA chip.

    Unlike Apple or Microsoft, which depend on hardware, software, and services, NVIDIA sells the heart of the machine. And it sells it at a premium.

    NVIDIA’s record valuation, now surpassing Apple and even Microsoft, isn’t based on current revenue (though its earnings are enormous). It is based on expectations — the assumption that the company will dominate AI hardware for the next decade.

    But what if it doesn’t?
    What if a competitor emerges?
    What if the U.S. intensifies export controls to China?
    What if geopolitical pressures disrupt the semiconductor ecosystem?

    Expectations inflate faster than the numbers that justify them.

    What we’re witnessing isn’t just a corporate triumph — it’s the consolidation of a new global paradigm where chips are the new oil. And like every extractive boom, the cycle is short, explosive, and catastrophic if not diversified.

    Today, 33% of the global AI industry depends on NVIDIA. Big Tech is chained to its GPUs the same way factories once depended on coal and automakers on steel. This interdependence, far from being a futuristic promise, signals structural fragility.

    In 2024, NVIDIA was the most profitable company on Earth. By mid-2025, it had already tripled its total 2022 revenue. But this boom has unfolded in a reality where employment, inflation, and wealth distribution live in a parallel universe — one without chips, AI, or record stock prices.

    The real risk isn’t that NVIDIA might collapse (though it could).
    The danger is that the entire architecture of 21st-century expectations has been built on one company — as if the future had been mortgaged to a single silicon ledger.

    Welcome to Technological Monotheism

    And now comes the most dangerous phase of any market cycle: blind worship.
    When a product becomes a religion, its downfall isn’t economic — it’s emotional.

    Funds keep buying.
    Central banks celebrate it as a sign of technological recovery.
    Retail investors watch from the sidelines while the elite accumulate the spoils.

    We’ve been here before.
    In 1999, during the dot-com bubble, companies with no revenue reached valuations of $1 trillion.
    Today, NVIDIA is worth four times that — with real products, yes, but also with the same speculative fever dressed as “innovation.”

    Welcome to the age of technological monotheism.


    NVIDIA: The $4 Trillion Silicon Goddess — Now Who Saves Us From Chips?

    In the 21st century, humanity no longer worships clay gods or golden idols. It worships companies that make chips. First it was Apple, then Microsoft. Now it is NVIDIA — which shattered the world record to become the first company ever valued at $4 trillion.

    But what does it mean when a microprocessor manufacturer is worth more than Germany’s GDP?
    What does it mean when the world depends — technologically, financially, geopolitically — on a single supplier of GPUs?

    Spoiler: it’s not good news.
    It’s a warning sign disguised as celebration.

    The market has always inflated valuations.
    It did it with dot-com stocks, real estate, and crypto.
    But the NVIDIA phenomenon is more dangerous because this time the excitement isn’t built on vapor — it’s built on silicon.

    NVIDIA trades not for what it has already done, but for what investors think it might do.
    Its GPUs are essential to AI today. But assuming the company will control the entire computing future is speculative optimism of the highest order.

    Investors crossed that chasm in a single leap — as if history never happened.

    The Fragility of a Single-Company Future

    Jensen Huang is now the most powerful figure in global tech — arguably more influential than Elon Musk, Mark Zuckerberg, or Sundar Pichai. While others depend on user behavior or regulatory mood, Huang controls the hardware that makes AI possible.

    From a 1990s startup to the beating heart of the fourth industrial revolution, NVIDIA has become geostrategic infrastructure.

    Today, wars aren’t defined only by missiles.
    They’re defined by algorithms.
    And algorithms run on chips.
    And the serious chips carry the NVIDIA badge.

    The question no one on Wall Street wants to ask:

    What happens if NVIDIA fails?

    What if China produces a cheaper competitor?
    What if AI consumption slows?
    What if Microsoft, Amazon, or Tesla switches suppliers?
    What if a financial correction finally arrives?

    No hegemony is eternal.
    Not Rome.
    Not Intel.
    Not Facebook.
    Not even Silicon Valley.

    NVIDIA’s achievement is monumental — but what the global economy is doing with it is reckless. Because behind those $4 trillion is a massive transfer of faith toward a single technological vein.

    The idea that one company can sustain the architecture of global AI is as fragile as it is arrogant.

    In the end, NVIDIA is not the crown of technological progress — it is its symptom. And possibly, its weakness.

    Unlike previous bubbles, the risk here isn’t air.
    It’s silicon.
    And when silicon collapses, it doesn’t dissipate — it breaks the digital spine of the planet.

    If NVIDIA falls, it’s not just a stock that crashes.
    It’s an entire pillar of modern civilization — or at least the narrative we’ve built around it.

    Because history is not written by technologists.
    It’s written by markets.
    By interests.
    By ambition.

    Abel
    Abelhttps://codigoabel.com
    Journalist, analyst, and researcher with a particular focus on geopolitics, economics, sports, and phenomena that defy conventional logic. Through Código Abel, I merge my work experience of more than two decades in various journalistic sources with my personal interests and tastes, aiming to offer a unique vision of the world. My work is based on critical analysis, fact-checking, and the exploration of connections that often go unnoticed in traditional media.

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